As of September 25, 2026, the lowest available five year fixed mortgage rate in Vancouver is 4.39 percent. The Bank of Canada's overnight rate has stabilized in the low three percent range following two cuts earlier this year. And the fall market in Richmond is now fully open with buyers back from summer and listings moving.
I want to put that rate in context for you because I think it changes the monthly payment math in a way that more people need to hear plainly.
The average rent in Vancouver has decreased by 4.9 percent year-over-year to $2,686 per month. Think about what that means sitting next to a purchase number. At a 4.39 percent five year fixed rate on a 30 year amortization, a buyer purchasing a Richmond condo at the current average sold price of $675,736 with 10 percent down is looking at a monthly mortgage payment in the range of $3,050 to $3,150. Add strata fees of $400 to $600 depending on the building, and you are looking at total monthly housing costs of roughly $3,450 to $3,750 for a property you own and are building equity in every single month.
That gap between renting and owning in Richmond is smaller right now than it has been at any point since 2020. And the rent number is not going to stay at $2,686 indefinitely.
The Richmond condo market right now still reads as a buyer's market. 933 active listings. 5.9 percent absorption rate. 49 days average on market. Prices trending up 9 percent versus the 90-day average. You have selection, you have negotiating room, and you have time to do proper due diligence before committing. The depreciation report is mandatory now as of July 1, 2026. Subject offers are being accepted. All of that is still available to a prepared buyer in September 2026.
Homes priced within one percent of their eventual sale value are selling in an average of 22 days in this market.That tells you sellers are getting serious about pricing now that the fall market is open and they know they are competing for a buyer pool that has real options. For a first-time buyer, a motivated seller who has priced correctly and needs to move is exactly the counterparty you want across the table.
The neighbourhood picture in Richmond matters here because the rate environment affects different price points differently. Brighouse South remains the most accessible entry point in the city at an average sold price of $566,280 with only 30 days on market. For a buyer whose budget sits at or below $650,000, the combination of that price point and a 4.39 percent mortgage rate makes the monthly payment calculation the most achievable it has been in years. East Cambie at 12.9 percent absorption and Hamilton at 13.6 percent have already tightened into balanced conditions, which tells you that the more accessible neighbourhoods are the ones to move on first before the recovery radiates further.
There were 4,100 new listings in August 2026, down three percent from last year and 1.3 percent below the 10-year August average. Still, 15,798 homes remained for sale across Greater Vancouver, which is 26.2 percent above the 10-year August average. There is still genuine selection in this market. But new supply is slowing. The inventory that exists today is not being replenished at the same rate. That combination of high current inventory and slowing new supply is exactly the condition that precedes a tightening market.
The programs available to first-time buyers have not changed. The First Home Savings Account and RRSP Home Buyers Plan give you up to $100,000 in tax-sheltered savings for your down payment. The GST rebate on new builds under one million dollars saves you up to $50,000. The 30 year amortization for insured mortgages is still available.
4.39 percent. That is the number. That is today's best available rate in Vancouver. Put it next to $675,736 average sold price in Richmond, 933 condos available, and 5.9 percent absorption, and tell me honestly whether the conditions for buying your first place in this city are going to get meaningfully better than this.
I do not think they are. But I would love to sit down and walk through your specific numbers with you so you can make that call with real information rather than just a feeling.
Reach out.
Neville Mak, REALTOR® The Real Brokerage 778-688-6667 | nevillemakre@gmail.com | nevillemak.ca Serving Richmond and Burnaby